Home win, draw and away win tips for today's fixtures — generated by our Poisson distribution model and xG analysis. No account required.
Every 1X2 tip on this page is free to access. See how our predictions are calculated.
| Match | League | KO | Tip | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Port II vs Shanghai Second | League Two | 08:00 | Home Win | N/A | 75% |
| Karviná II vs Zbrojovka Brno II | 3. Liga MSFL | 08:15 | Away Win | 2.02 | 65% |
| Czech Republic U18 vs Romania U18 | Friendlies | 09:00 | Draw | N/A | 95% |
| Vanuatu vs Fiji | Friendlies | 10:00 | Home Win | N/A | 70% |
| Brazil U20 W vs Korea Republic U20 W | Friendlies Women | 10:00 | Draw | N/A | 95% |
| Zimbabwe W vs Lesotho W | Friendlies Women | 10:30 | Draw | N/A | 95% |
| Podbeskidzie vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz | II Liga East | 11:45 | Home Win | 2.22 | 60% |
| Tanzania W vs Malawi W | Friendlies Women | 12:00 | Home Win | N/A | 60% |
| Lithuania vs Latvia | Baltic Cup | 13:00 | Home Win | N/A | 60% |
| Malta U19 W vs Saudi Arabia U20 W | Friendlies Women | 13:00 | Away Win | N/A | 65% |
The 1X2 market is the most fundamental football betting market: you back the home win (1), the draw (X), or the away win (2). Every day xGaura publishes free 1X2 predictions for fixtures across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1. All tips are generated by our Poisson distribution model and published by 08:00 UTC each morning. No registration. No paywall.
A 1X2 bet is a three-way market on the full-time result of a football match. 1 denotes a home team win. X denotes a draw. 2 denotes an away team win. Unlike Asian handicap or Draw No Bet markets, there is no refund on a draw in a standard 1X2 bet — you either win or lose. The simplicity of the market makes it the most widely traded in football and the foundation on which all other markets are built.
xGaura's 1X2 predictions are derived from a Poisson distribution model calibrated on a 38-match rolling window for each team. The model ingests each team's average goals scored and conceded, home and away advantage factors, and Elo rating differentials to produce a full probability distribution over all possible scorelines. A 1X2 tip is published where xGaura's model probability for one outcome meaningfully exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability.
In the 1X2 market, home advantage is a significant and well-documented factor. Across Europe's top five leagues, the home side wins approximately 46% of matches, draws occur in around 26% of games, and the away side wins in approximately 28%. However, these averages mask significant variation. Our confidence rating helps you distinguish between the higher-conviction and more speculative picks.
The table above shows all of today's 1X2 tips. Each row shows the match, the league, the kick-off time, the specific tip (Home Win, Draw or Away Win), the best available odds across major bookmakers, and xGaura's model confidence. Tips with a confidence of 75% or above are our highest-conviction 1X2 selections for the day.
xGaura's predictions are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is causing you harm, please seek support. You must be 18 or over to gamble.