xGaura is a free football statistics and prediction platform built by Beta Web Analysis Limited. We use Poisson distribution models, expected goals analysis and Elo ratings to publish daily predictions, value bets and statistical tools across Europe's top five leagues — completely free, no registration required.
There is a gap between how professional clubs and betting syndicates analyse football, and what is available to the average fan or bettor. Clubs employ full analytics departments. Syndicates run quantitative models with six-figure data budgets. Everyone else relies on gut feeling, pundit opinion, or prediction sites that publish tips with no methodology and no accountability.
xGaura was built to close that gap. We use the same statistical frameworks — Poisson distribution, expected goals, Elo ratings — that are standard in professional football analytics, and we make the output available free to anyone who wants it.
No registration. No paywall. No catch. Every prediction, calculator, league table and value bet on this site is free, and that will not change.
Lead tipster and head of football analysis at xGaura. Responsible for the daily tip sheet, value bet identification and model oversight. Published track record since January 2023 with a verified 76% win rate and +18.4% ROI over 312 tips.
The team behind the Poisson v2.4 model, Elo rating system, xG data pipeline and all statistical infrastructure. Responsible for model calibration, data ingestion, weekly recalibration and the mathematical predictions engine that powers every tip on the site.
xGaura is a product of Beta Web Analysis Limited, a registered company. The company operates a network of football analysis and prediction platforms. xGaura represents the flagship product, combining the deepest statistical methodology with the broadest free access policy across the network.
xGaura is supported by advertising and affiliate partnerships. When visitors click through to bookmakers or other services via links on our site and make a purchase, we may earn a commission. This is how we fund the data, infrastructure and development costs that allow us to keep every prediction, tool and statistic free for every visitor.
We are transparent about this. Affiliate links are labelled where relevant. We do not accept payment to promote specific bookmakers in our tips — every tip is generated by the model, not by a commercial relationship. Our recommendations are based solely on what the data supports.
xGaura does not run a paid VIP tier, does not sell predictions privately, and does not accept payment to include or exclude specific information from our content. The free tier is the only tier.
Full explanation of the Poisson distribution model, Elo ratings, xG inputs and how value bets are identified.
Full historical performance for every tipster on xGaura. Win rate, ROI, yield and streak — all transparent.
Questions, feedback, partnerships or data licensing enquiries. We respond to all messages within 24 hours.